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Title: Assessing the economic implications of Turkish accession to the EU
Abstract
The paper explores the economic implications of the possible Turkish accession to the European Union. It focuses on three main changes associated with Turkish membership: (i) accession to the internal European Market; (ii) institutional reforms in Turkey triggered by EU membership; and (iii) migration in response to the free movement of workers. Overall, the macroeconomic implications for EU countries are small but positive. This is caused by cheaper imports and the benefits from trade creation. Turkey experiences larger economic gains than the EU: consumption per capita is estimated to rise by about 4% as a result of accession to the internal market and free movement of labour. If Turkey would succeed in reforming its domestic institutions in response to EU membership, economic growth in Turkey could increase more. In particular, tentative estimates suggest that consumption per capita in Turkey could rise by an additional 9%. These benefits would spill over to the EU. For instance, Dutch exports to Turkey would rise by another 1.8 billion euro and income by 500 million euro. [Author vide copyright]
Author: Lejour, A. M. | de Mooij, R.A. | Capel, C. H.
Series Title: CPB Document ; 56
Publisher: CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis
Year: 2004
ISBN / ISSN / Kat.Nr: 90-5833-166-0
Language: en
Ressource: Einzelne Berichte, Studien
Keyword: EU expansionfreedom of movementmarketmigrationreformEuropäische Union
Subject: History of the European Communities. European ideaEconomics. Economic conditions. Economic doctrines and systemsAspects of migration
Countries Scheme: Turkey
Online Ressource: vorübergehend nicht erreichbar!
Bitte beachten Sie die urheberrechtlichen Bedingungen der Dokumentenbenutzung / Please observe the copyright when accessing the document | Quelle / Source: CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (http://www.cpb.nl/)
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