Systematic Search for Publications

'Bond Market Inflation Expectation and Longer-term Trends in Broad Monetary Growth and Inflation in Industrial Countries, 1880-2001' by William G. Dewald, Professor of Economics Emeritus, Ohio State University and Former Director of Research, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Annual data for thirteen countries revealed three long up trends and down trends in inflation that were matched by growth rates in M2 and nominal GDP but not real GDP in each country and cross-country averages. Inflationary expectations as estimated by bond rates less real growth trends indicated little inflation expectation until the 1960s. Central banks had credibility to keep inflation low even during wartime. It was lost as inflation rose in the 1970s and regained only as inflation fell subsequently. Although relationships with annual data were not as reliable as with ten-year averages, annual inflation was significantly related to annual M2 growth and inflationary expectations which should not be ignored in central bank decision making. [William G. Dewald]

Standard economic models hold that exchange rates are influenced by fundamental variables such as relative money supplies, outputs, inflation rates and interest rates. Nonetheless, it has been well documented that such variables little help predict changes in floating exchange rates - that is, exchange rates follow a random walk. We show that the data do exhibit a related link suggested by standard models - that the exchange rate helps predict fundamentals. We also show analytically that in a rational expectations present value model, an asset price manifests near random walk behavior if fundamentals are I(1) and the factor for discounting future fundamentals is near one. We suggest that this may apply to exchange rates. [Charles Engel ; Kenneth David West]

Over the past decades, cross-border financial flows have increased in importance and have in many occasions exceeded the underlying current account positions. This phenomenon has been accompanied by an increase in the volume of international equity transactions that accentuate the role of international risk sharing as a factor for the macroeconomic response to shocks. We use a stylised two-bloc, two-period model of the global economy, with a simple stochastic productivity shock affecting only one country. Efficient global risk-sharing imply that expected productivity gains in one country will attract equity inflows in excess of those needed to finance the current account. Upward-biased expectations about prospects for the productivity gains can further increase the risk exposure of foreign shareholders. The model is calibrated to show how ex post market losses - whether due to 'normal' stock market downturn or ex ante over-optimism - are distributed and how they affect global consumption and current account positions. The results suggest that international spillover effects of stock market bubbles can contribute to business cycle synchronisation across economic areas. [Olli Castrén, Marcus Miller and Roger Stiegert]

Diese Studie analysiert den interregionalen Assoziierungsprozeß zwischen der Europäischen Union und dem Mercosur und Chile sowie seine Auswirkungen auf den Sektor Agrar- und Ernährungswirtschaft der EU. [Autor]

The School of Slavonic and East European Studies is one of the world's leading specialist institutions, and the largest national centre in the UK, for the study of Central, Eastern and South-East Europe and Russia; it possesses one of the most important research libraries in its field. [Author vide copyright]

Das Institut für Weltwirtschaft an der Universität Kiel (IfW) ist eines der großen Zentren weltwirtschaftlicher Forschung, wirtschaftspolitischer Beratung, ökonomischer Ausbildung und wirtschaftswissenschaftlicher Dokumentation. Das Institut sieht seine Hauptaufgabe in der Erforschung innovativer Lösungsansätze für drängende weltwirtschaftliche Probleme. Auf Basis dieser Forschungsarbeiten berät es Entscheidungsträger in Politik, Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft und informiert die interessierte Öffentlichkeit über wichtige wirtschaftspolitische Zusammenhänge. Als Tor zur weltwirtschaftlichen Forschung pflegt es ein weit gespanntes Netzwerk aus nationalen und internationalen Experten, deren Forschungsarbeiten direkt oder indirekt in die Forschungs- und Beratungsaktivitäten des Instituts einfließen. Das Institut für Weltwirtschaft legt einen besonderen Schwerpunkt auf die ökonomische Aus- und Weiterbildung und verfügt über die größte wirtschafts- und sozialwissenschaftliche Bibliothek der Welt. [Author vide Copyright]

A series of longer papers evaluating government policies and offering proposals for reform. [Author vide Copyright]

Read these clear, concise summaries of country economic surveys and today's global policy challenges. [Author vide Copyright]

Étudier, conseiller, sensibiliser et diffuser de l'information sur le transport maritime. Isemar est un centre de recherche appliquée en économie maritime. Ses études sont destinées à la fois à des professionnels du monde maritime (opérateurs portuaires, chargeurs, transporteurs...), aux institutions de développement économique concernées par la dynamique maritime, et aux centres de recherche universitaires. L'originalité d'ISEMAR ? 1. Être spécialisé en économie maritime. 2. Bénéficier de partenariats universitaires et professionnels. 3. Proposer une vision nouvelle et prospective du monde maritime. 4. Affirmer la contribution des industries maritimes au développement. Études et conseils auprès des entreprises et des organismes de développement économique. Sensibiliser les acteurs maritimes aux enjeux des industries maritimes. Développer un pôle de formation et recherche en économie maritime. [Author vide Copyright]

Sonderhefte In den Sonderheften veröffentlicht das Institut sonstige Beiträge wie Gutachten, gemeinsame Berichte verschiedener Institutionen und Konferenzmaterialien. Nach der Gründung des IWH stand zunächst die Transformation der ostdeutschen Wirtschaft und der Länder Mittel- und Osteuropas, die sich im Umbau der Wirtschaftsstruktur, den Handelsbeziehungen, den Arbeitsmärkten und der Veränderung der Wettbewerbslandschaft zeigte, im Zentrum der Analysen. Dieser Fokus wurde zunehmend auf europäische und internationale Fragestellungen erweitert. Ausgangspunkt bilden dabei wirtschaftspolitische Fragestellungen, die aufgegriffen Theorien und Modellen zugeordnet und schließlich mittels moderner statistischer und ökonometrischer Verfahren überprüft werden. [Author vide Copyright]

Current Issues The Current Issues series, formerly Frankfurt Voice, treats economic and societal topics of fundamental importance. Currently, the main focus is on issues such as global growth centres, questions and problems relating to demographic developments world-wide, as well as China's and India's growing economic and political status. [Author vide Copyright]

5. Country Profile: France
5.1. Introduction
5.2. Background information on France
5.2.1. Development in the number of applicants
5.2.2. Number of asylum statuses granted
5.2.3. Main countries of origin
5.2.4. Costs
5.2.5. Benefits and costs
5.3. Organisation of the asylum procedure
5.3.1. Co-ordination
5.4. Legal basis
5.4.1. Main changes
5.5. Arrangements immediately upon arrival
5.6. Accommodation
5.6.1. Names and addresses of reception and accommodation centres
5.6.2. Special treatment
5.6.3. Standard and facilities of reception and accommodation centres
5.6.4. Possible changes and developments
5.7. Means of subsistence
5.8. Access to education
5.9. Access to the labour market
5.10. Access to health care
5.11. Rules on detention and other restrictions on free movement
5.12. Differences in treatment according to the stage of the asylum procedure and the type of status sought
5.13. Political atmosphere surrounding refugees and immigrants
5.13.1.The public debate
5.13.2.The political debate
5.13.3.International co-operation

9. Country Profile: Italy
9.1. Introduction
9.2. Background information on Italy
9.2.1. Trends in the number of applicants
9.2.2. Number of statuses granted
9.2.3. Main countries of origin
9.2.4. Costs
9.3. Organisation of the asylum procedure
9.3.1. Co-ordination
9.4. Legal basis
9.5. Arrangements immediately upon arrival
9.6. Accommodation
9.6.1. Names and addresses of reception and accommodation centres
9.6.2. Special treatment
9.6.3. Standard of reception and accommodation facilities
9.6.4. Possible changes and developments
9.7. Means of subsistence
9.7.1. Possible changes
9.8. Access to education
9.8.1. Possible changes
9.9. Access to the labour market
9.9.1. Possible changes
9.10. Access to health care
9.10.1. Possible changes
9.11. Rules on detention and other restrictions on free movement
9.12. Differences in treatment according to the stage of the asylum procedure and the type of status sought
9.13. Political atmosphere surrounding refugees and immigrants
9.13.1. The public debate
9.13.2. The political debate
9.13.3. International co-operation

List of Abbreviations
Acknowledgements
Preface
Introduction
Layout of the Report
Part 1: Resettlement Today
1. How Resettlement has Developed and the Role of UNHCR
2. The Position of the European Commission: the start of discussion on resettlement in the European Union
Table: US Resettlement Programme Ceilings and Admissions and Asylum Applications, 1992-2001
Table: US Asylum Applications and Resettlement Arrivals: Top Ten countries of Origin, 2001
3. The Elements of a Resettlement Programme
Table: Resettlement quotas and arrivals
4. Country Reports:
u0095 Sweden
u0095 Finland
u0095 Denmark
u0095 The Netherlands
u0095 Ireland
u0095 UK
u0095 Spain
u0095 Norway
u0095 Iceland
u0095 New Zealand
u0095 Australia
u0095 Canada
Summary Table
u0095 US
Table: Ceilings, Admissions and Shortfalls, 1980-2002
u0095 Latin America
u0095 African States
u0095 Other EU States
u0095 Switzerland
u0095 Some 'lessons' drawn from country reviews
5. The Costing of Existing Refugee Resettlement Programmes
6. Fraud
7. The Legal Nature of Resettlement
8. Conclusions to Part 1 and Background to Part 2
Part 2: Resettlement Tomorrow?
1. The Legal and Political Feasibility of Establishing an EU Resettlement Programme
2. The Relation to the Common Asylum System and Goal of a Common Asylum Procedure
Graphic: Common European Asylum System
Graphic: Common European International Protection System
3. Resettlement Programme Models: Subsidiarity
Model One: Maintaining the Current System
Model Two: Decision on the Principle of Resettlement
Model Three: Common Decision to Resettle and How Many
Model Four: Common Approach to Who and How Many
European Clearing System for Resettlement
Model Five: Common Pre-Arrival Programme
Model Six: Totally Common Programme
4. Financing Resettlement
European Refugee Resettlement Fund
Private Sponsorship Prog

ERÖRTERTE PUNKTE
AUF AUSSERVERTRAGLICHE SCHULDVERHÄLTNISSE ANZUWENDENDES RECHT ("ROM II")
VORRATSSPEICHERUNG VON DATEN
EUROPÄISCHE BEWEISANORDNUNG
VERFAHRENSMÄSSIGE AUSWIRKUNGEN DES URTEILS DES GERICHTSHOFS IN DER RECHTSSACHE C-176/03
ASYLBEHÖRDEN DER MITGLIEDSTAATEN
SICHERE HERKUNFTSSTAATEN
GRÜNBUCH ÜBER EIN EUROPÄISCHES MIGRATIONSNETZ
SONSTIGES
- Informationsaustausch über Strafregister
- Südosteuropäischer Kooperationsprozess (SEECP) - Ministertagung
- Fußballweltmeisterschaft 2006 in Deutschland
GEMISCHTER AUSSCHUSS
- SIS II
- Visumgebühren
SONSTIGE ANGENOMMENE PUNKTE JUSTIZ UND INNERES
- Europäisches Mahnverfahren
- Schengen - Regelwerk für das Überschreiten der Grenzen durch Personen*
- Gegenseitigkeitsmechanismus für die Befreiung von der Visumpflicht - Schlussfolgerungen des Rates
- Europol - Ausscheiden eines stellvertretenden Direktors
- Verhandlungen mit Australien - Übermittlung personenbezogener Daten
- Organisierte Kriminalität - Informationsaustausch
- EU/Island/Norwegen/Dänemark - Asylfragen
AUSSENBEZIEHUNGEN - Libanon - Maßnahmen gegen Verdächtige im Mordfall Hariri
UMWELT
- Wandernde wild lebende Tierarten - Bonner Übereinkommen